President Donald Trump announced his campaign for reelection for 2020 on the day of his inauguration. This is especially unusual for a president to declare his candidacy so early in the running.
Furthermore, Trump has been holding rallies and fundraisers for his Trump 2020 campaign since February 2017. Trump also announced in November 2018 that the current Vice President, Mike Pence, will be his running mate in 2020.
But, are you wondering what the chances of the President accomplishing another shock victory are? What are the voters saying and what are his chances? Let’s take a look!
1. The President’s Campaign
The President’s campaign slogan in 2016 was one of the most successful in living memory. Supporters could regularly be seen wearing one of the famous “Make America Great Again” baseball caps. Check out this blog for famous slogans used in previous presidential campaigns.
Trump has confirmed that for 2020, the slogan will be changed from “Make American Great Again” to “Keep America Great.” He has continued to use the 2016 slogan. He claims he will switch when America has reached “greatness”.
However, it is yet to be revealed what policy agenda the president will pursue in the 2020 campaign. We can probably expect to see Trump defend his record in office, especially on economy and immigration.
2. The Doom and Gloom
There are many reasons to think Trump is not going to have an easy time achieving a second term as President. There are also numerous Republicans who would prefer another nominee to the President.
Democrats are universally opposed to the President, which since taking a majority in the House becomes particularly important in the second-half of Trump’s first term in office.
Plus, the government shutdowns over funding for the border wall with Mexico have not helped Trump. 54% of voters say that Trump is to blame for the shutdown compared with just 31% who blame Democrats.
Moreover, Robert Mueller, the special counsel, is also continuing to work on the investigation around Russian interference in the 2016 Presidential election. This report hangs over the president’s head.
3. Trump’s Advantage Over the Rest
It’s not all doom and gloom for the president. Trump will probably have more money than any Democratic candidate.
In the 2016 presidential election between Trump and the Democratic candidate Secretary Hillary Clinton, the former was outspent in every state.
And yet, during his first two years as president, Trump has raised $130 million for 2020. He has already spent the majority of this money on his 2020 campaign so far. Moreover, we can expect the former TV celebrity and real estate magnate to receive even more money from donors over the next years of the election campaign.
This is a significantly higher amount of fundraising than any previous candidate for president at this stage. For example, Barack Obama had raised around $4 million by this stage of the election campaign during his first term as president.
Furthermore, with so many Democratic candidates for 2020, Trump now has the time to continue to raise and spend money while the Democrats tear each other apart.
4. What Do the Polls Say?
While Trump has plenty of cash, he should be concerned about his low approval ratings. Although the election remains two-years away, few presidents have managed to come back from such opposition from voters.
According to the latest poll, 57% of registered voters say they will definitely vote against President Trump in 2020. This compares with only 30% of voters who would vote for Trump. While another 13% of voters remain undecided.
For over 57% of people, the president is not doing enough to work with Democrats in Congress. However, 55% blame Democrats for the lack of bi-partisanship.
This is particularly important since many voters value the importance of cooperation between Republicans and Democrats. Almost two-thirds of people say that they want to see elected officials compromise over policy.
5. Who Is Trump up Against?
We can expect to see up to 40 Democratic candidates to launch bids to be president in 2020. Many have already declared their candidacy for the top job. So, who are the top Democratic candidates?
Trump has already described Joe Biden, one potential runner, like a dream to run against. Biden has previously run for president in 1988 and 2008, before becoming Obama’s running mate in 2008 and his Vice President. However, he has yet to announce whether he is running or not.
Another notable contender is the senator for California, Kamala Harris, who would be the first Indian-American and first female black president if she won.
A favorite among progressives, Bernie Sanders, who was beaten by Hillary Clinton to the Democratic nomination in 2016, has also announced he is running.
As is Elizabeth Warren, the Massachusetts senator, who has a national profile from her fiery campaigns for regulation of Wall Street. Then there is Cory Brooker, the senator from New Jersey, who has been also been a vocal critic of the Trump administration.
Other confirmed candidates include the New York senator Kirsten Gillibrand, Julian Castro, the former Texas Mayor, John Delaney, a congressman from Maryland, and many more.
Will It Be a Trump 2020 Victory?
Many experts think that it’s too early to call the 2020 presidential election.
There are numerous notable and exciting Democrats who are determined to block Trump from a second term in office. However, only a fool would underestimate Trump, who has continued to defy expectations. His passionate support base and deep pockets make anything possible in 2020.
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